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Line Closes Wave 1 pt. > Cincy

Posted: Sun Nov 20, 2022 2:11 pm
by Wave755
Spread opens Cincy 3 pts. > Tulane. https://www.oddsshark.com/ncaaf/tulane- ... 22-1638396
O/U 48 pts.

Cincy, 9-2, 6-1 AAC, body of work to date:

1) 9/3 - Arkansas 34, Cincy 31;
2) 9/10 - Cincy 63, Kennesaw St. 10;
3) 9/17 - Cincy 38, Miami (OH) 17;
4) 9/24 - Cincy 45, Indiana 24;
5) 10/1 - Cincy 31, Tulsa 21;
6) 10/8 - Cincy 28, USF 24;
7) 10/22 - Cincy 29, SMU 27;
8) 10/29 - UCF 25, Cincy 21;
9) 11/5 - Cincy 20, Navy 10
10) 11/11 - Cincy 27, ECU 25;
11) 11/19 - Cincy 23, Temple 3.

The ESPN Match Predictor gives the Wave a 43 %-win chance for the game. https://www.espn.com/college-football/g ... /401415665

Under Sagarin’s ratings formula playing @ Nippert Stadium Cincy is about a 1.83 pt. favorite over the Wave. Sagarin ranks Tulane #38, Cincy #39. https://sagarin.usatoday.com/2022-2/col ... ings-2022/

Tulane leads the series 11 wins, to 7 for Cincy. Cincy has won the last 4 games. http://www.winsipedia.com/tulane/vs/cincinnati

We again control our destiny; officials be willing, this Friday we will beat Cincy and then, UCF @ Yulman for the AAC 🏆!!!

Roll Wave Roll !!! 🌊

Re: Line Opens Cincy 3 pts. > Wave

Posted: Sun Nov 20, 2022 5:23 pm
by tpstulane
I remember the days we’d beat them like a drum.

Re: Line Opens Cincy 3 pts. > Wave

Posted: Sun Nov 20, 2022 5:43 pm
by golfnut69
3 points is about what the home field is worth.... so on a neutral field this would be a pick'em......

Re: Line Opens Cincy 3 pts. > Wave

Posted: Sun Nov 20, 2022 6:18 pm
by Wave755
tpstulane wrote: Sun Nov 20, 2022 5:23 pm I remember the days we’d beat them like a drum.
Yep, we beat them 5 times in a row from 1990 to 2000. And I was surprised to see we still lead the series even though they have won the last 4. times we have played.

Re: Line Opens Cincy 3 pts. > Wave

Posted: Sun Nov 20, 2022 6:23 pm
by Wave755
golfnut69 wrote: Sun Nov 20, 2022 5:43 pm 3 points is about what the home field is worth.... so on a neutral field this would be a pick'em......
Correct, Sagarin places homefield advantage this week at 1.86 pts. Generally speaking, Vegas gives the home team 3 points. So, on a neutral field I believe the game would be "pick it." Note Sagarin ranks us #38, Cincy #39.

Re: Line Opens Cincy 3 pts. > Wave

Posted: Sun Nov 20, 2022 6:39 pm
by tpstulane
Wave755 wrote: Sun Nov 20, 2022 6:18 pm
tpstulane wrote: Sun Nov 20, 2022 5:23 pm I remember the days we’d beat them like a drum.
Yep, we beat them 5 times in a row from 1990 to 2000. And I was surprised to see we still lead the series even though they have won the last 4. times we have played.
Yes. Good ole days

Re: Line Opens Cincy 3 pts. > Wave

Posted: Mon Nov 21, 2022 7:20 am
by DfromCT
tpstulane wrote: Sun Nov 20, 2022 6:39 pm
Wave755 wrote: Sun Nov 20, 2022 6:18 pm
tpstulane wrote: Sun Nov 20, 2022 5:23 pm I remember the days we’d beat them like a drum.
Yep, we beat them 5 times in a row from 1990 to 2000. And I was surprised to see we still lead the series even though they have won the last 4. times we have played.
Yes. Good ole days
The first ever C-USA game was a Tulane road victory at Cincinnati. In the early years, C-USA was a pretty good conference, with quite a few future P5's.

Re: Line ⬇️ Cincy 2 pts. > Wave

Posted: Mon Nov 21, 2022 11:56 am
by Wave755
Spread "tweaks" down to 2 pts., O/U 47 pts. https://www.vegasinsider.com/college-fo ... vs-tulane/

59% of early spread bets on Wave.
🤞

Re: Line ⬇️ Cincy 1 pt. > Wave

Posted: Wed Nov 23, 2022 2:54 pm
by Wave755
Spread moves down to 1 pt.; Vegas believes in the Wave, spread beats split Wave 55%, Cincy 45%.

O/U 46.5 pts.

Re: Line ⬇️ Cincy 1 pt. > Wave

Posted: Fri Nov 25, 2022 10:56 am
by RobertM320
As of this morning, Caesars has the Wave favored by 1. O/U 44.0

Re: Line Closes Wave 1 pt. > Cincy

Posted: Fri Nov 25, 2022 11:07 am
by Wave755
Line closes Wave 1 pt. > Cincy. 62% of spreads on Wave & 89% of spread money on Wave.

Vegas believes, Roll Wave Roll!!!

Re: Line Closes Wave 1 pt. > Cincy

Posted: Fri Nov 25, 2022 4:30 pm
by greenie78
Wave cover again!