Line Closes Wave 1 pt. > Cincy

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Wave755
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Spread opens Cincy 3 pts. > Tulane. https://www.oddsshark.com/ncaaf/tulane- ... 22-1638396
O/U 48 pts.

Cincy, 9-2, 6-1 AAC, body of work to date:

1) 9/3 - Arkansas 34, Cincy 31;
2) 9/10 - Cincy 63, Kennesaw St. 10;
3) 9/17 - Cincy 38, Miami (OH) 17;
4) 9/24 - Cincy 45, Indiana 24;
5) 10/1 - Cincy 31, Tulsa 21;
6) 10/8 - Cincy 28, USF 24;
7) 10/22 - Cincy 29, SMU 27;
8) 10/29 - UCF 25, Cincy 21;
9) 11/5 - Cincy 20, Navy 10
10) 11/11 - Cincy 27, ECU 25;
11) 11/19 - Cincy 23, Temple 3.

The ESPN Match Predictor gives the Wave a 43 %-win chance for the game. https://www.espn.com/college-football/g ... /401415665

Under Sagarin’s ratings formula playing @ Nippert Stadium Cincy is about a 1.83 pt. favorite over the Wave. Sagarin ranks Tulane #38, Cincy #39. https://sagarin.usatoday.com/2022-2/col ... ings-2022/

Tulane leads the series 11 wins, to 7 for Cincy. Cincy has won the last 4 games. http://www.winsipedia.com/tulane/vs/cincinnati

We again control our destiny; officials be willing, this Friday we will beat Cincy and then, UCF @ Yulman for the AAC 🏆!!!

Roll Wave Roll !!! 🌊
Last edited by Wave755 on Fri Nov 25, 2022 11:02 am, edited 4 times in total.


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tpstulane
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I remember the days we’d beat them like a drum.
Stadiums get old, winning never does.
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golfnut69
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3 points is about what the home field is worth.... so on a neutral field this would be a pick'em......
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Wave755
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tpstulane wrote: Sun Nov 20, 2022 5:23 pm I remember the days we’d beat them like a drum.
Yep, we beat them 5 times in a row from 1990 to 2000. And I was surprised to see we still lead the series even though they have won the last 4. times we have played.
Wave755
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golfnut69 wrote: Sun Nov 20, 2022 5:43 pm 3 points is about what the home field is worth.... so on a neutral field this would be a pick'em......
Correct, Sagarin places homefield advantage this week at 1.86 pts. Generally speaking, Vegas gives the home team 3 points. So, on a neutral field I believe the game would be "pick it." Note Sagarin ranks us #38, Cincy #39.
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tpstulane
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Wave755 wrote: Sun Nov 20, 2022 6:18 pm
tpstulane wrote: Sun Nov 20, 2022 5:23 pm I remember the days we’d beat them like a drum.
Yep, we beat them 5 times in a row from 1990 to 2000. And I was surprised to see we still lead the series even though they have won the last 4. times we have played.
Yes. Good ole days
Stadiums get old, winning never does.
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DfromCT
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tpstulane wrote: Sun Nov 20, 2022 6:39 pm
Wave755 wrote: Sun Nov 20, 2022 6:18 pm
tpstulane wrote: Sun Nov 20, 2022 5:23 pm I remember the days we’d beat them like a drum.
Yep, we beat them 5 times in a row from 1990 to 2000. And I was surprised to see we still lead the series even though they have won the last 4. times we have played.
Yes. Good ole days
The first ever C-USA game was a Tulane road victory at Cincinnati. In the early years, C-USA was a pretty good conference, with quite a few future P5's.
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Wave755
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Spread "tweaks" down to 2 pts., O/U 47 pts. https://www.vegasinsider.com/college-fo ... vs-tulane/

59% of early spread bets on Wave.
🤞
Wave755
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Spread moves down to 1 pt.; Vegas believes in the Wave, spread beats split Wave 55%, Cincy 45%.

O/U 46.5 pts.
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RobertM320
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As of this morning, Caesars has the Wave favored by 1. O/U 44.0
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Wave755
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Line closes Wave 1 pt. > Cincy. 62% of spreads on Wave & 89% of spread money on Wave.

Vegas believes, Roll Wave Roll!!!
greenie78
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Wave cover again!
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