Line Closes Navy 9 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

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Line Closes Navy 9 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby Wave755 » Sun Sep 03, 2017 4:15 pm

Spread Opens Navy 14 pts. > Wave (Rotation nos. 347-348 for Vegas Sheet).

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-foo ... las-vegas/

Navy “body of work” to date:

1) 9/1 – Navy 42, Florida Atlantic 19

Our guys believe in WF, they will fight to the end; I think this will be a very close game.
Last edited by Wave755 on Sat Sep 09, 2017 2:38 pm, edited 2 times in total.



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Re: Line Opens Navy 14 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby OUG » Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:01 pm

14 is too many. I understand it but it's way too many. I think it will come down. If it doesn't, I'm taking the points.

Always so much money to be made in September, since Vegas and public takes forever to adapt to year-to-year changes in teams.



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Re: Line Opens Navy 14 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby oliveandblue » Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:14 pm

We're better than I thought.

I'm going Annapolis on Saturday. I think we lose, but it's a close call and we cover. 14 is a lot of points.



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Re: Line Opens Navy 14 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby RobertM320 » Sun Sep 03, 2017 5:17 pm

Last year, coming off that 3-9 CJ season, and only the Wake Forest and Southern games to go by, we were only 6-7 point dogs at home. And Navy was 2-0. So basically, when we take into account home field, they think we about the same distance apart as we were a year ago.


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Re: Line Opens Navy 14 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby Aberzombie1892 » Sun Sep 03, 2017 7:52 pm

I would pass. Tulane may cover, sure, but there hasn't been enough football played to be confident enough to bet on Tulane to cover against Navy @Navy.



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Re: Line Opens Navy 14 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby DrBox » Sun Sep 03, 2017 8:33 pm

We've handled Navy defensively for 2 straight years. If we make it 3 in a row, I like our chances.



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Re: Line Opens Navy 14 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby Wave755 » Sun Sep 03, 2017 9:49 pm

They beat us at Yulman last year 21-14, and in 2015 @ Annapolis 31-14.

I think Tulane-Navy will again be very evenly matched teams, just like for 2016.



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Re: Line Opens Navy 14 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby RobertM320 » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:03 pm

Wave755 wrote:They beat us at Yulman last year 21-14, and in 2015 @ Annapolis 31-14.

I think Tulane-Navy will again be very evenly matched teams, just like for 2016.


And if you remember the 2015 game, when we were terrible and uncoached, wasn't the score something like 17-14 at the end of the third quarter?


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Re: Line Opens Navy 14 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby Wave755 » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:45 pm

RobertM320 wrote:
Wave755 wrote:They beat us at Yulman last year 21-14, and in 2015 @ Annapolis 31-14.

I think Tulane-Navy will again be very evenly matched teams, just like for 2016.


And if you remember the 2015 game, when we were terrible and uncoached, wasn't the score something like 17-14 at the end of the third quarter?

I thought the same thing, a very poorly coached CJ team hung tough with Navy on the road at Annapolis to the very end. Saturday's game should go right down to the wire, WF, a good coach, will have our guys ready. Win this game and we could be off to a very good season.



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Re: Line Opens Navy 14 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby sader24 » Mon Sep 04, 2017 3:01 am

I like us straight up. I will be taking the points in a big way if I can get them at anything above +8.



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Re: Line Opens Navy 14 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby oliveandblue » Mon Sep 04, 2017 1:13 pm

A win here means that Tulane heads to play Army at 2-1. It gives us room for error.



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Re: Line Opens Navy 14 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby galvezwave » Mon Sep 04, 2017 1:23 pm

oliveandblue wrote:A win here means that Tulane heads to play Army at 2-1. It gives us room for error.


It would be the biggest win in several years as far as setting up for a successful run.



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Re: Line Opens Navy 14 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby RobertM320 » Mon Sep 04, 2017 2:04 pm

And this is the type of game we always seem to choke on. Lets hope things are different this time. I must say, I really think the team has bought into what CWF and his staff are selling.


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Re: Line Opens Navy 14 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby Wave755 » Mon Sep 04, 2017 2:18 pm

RobertM320 wrote:And this is the type of game we always seem to choke on. Lets hope things are different this time. I must say, I really think the team has bought into what CWF and his staff are selling.

This should be different than under the "Buffet Bob" Toledo show (error?) and the saga of the Army game. Remember how the Army game was always going to be the "turning point" for our season under "Buffet Bob" yet he managed to lose 4 out of 5 of those games? I have seen enough now to be confident the WF era will be quite different for Wave football.



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Re: Line Opens Navy 14 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby Wave755 » Tue Sep 05, 2017 1:17 pm

Over/Under 48.5 pts. (Rotation nos. 347-348 for Vegas Sheet).

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-foo ... las-vegas/

Right in line with our Navy Game prediction thread. Last year only 35 points were scored but I think this year we have a much better offense.



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Re: Line Moves to Navy 11 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby Wave755 » Fri Sep 08, 2017 7:44 pm

Spread moves to Navy 11 pts. > Wave. Vegas needs to put some money on the Middies. :D



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Re: Line Closes Navy 9 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby Wave755 » Sat Sep 09, 2017 2:39 pm

MGM line closes Navy 7.5 pts. > Wave.



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Re: Line Closes Navy 9 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby Show Me » Sat Sep 09, 2017 4:28 pm

I bet the books are going to clean house.



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Re: Line Opens Navy 14 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby Show Me » Sat Sep 09, 2017 4:29 pm

Wave755 wrote:Over/Under 48.5 pts. (Rotation nos. 347-348 for Vegas Sheet).

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-foo ... las-vegas/

Right in line with our Navy Game prediction thread. Last year only 35 points were scored but I think this year we have a much better offense.

Over looks like the bet.



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Re: Line Closes Navy 9 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby tpstulane » Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:41 pm

Points and over take it home. Navy should have been only a 3-5point favorite today.


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Re: Line Closes Navy 9 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby RobertM320 » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:21 pm

Points and under wins. Unless common core math has now made 44 more than 48.5. :o


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Re: Line Closes Navy 9 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby tpstulane » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:34 pm

RobertM320 wrote:Points and under wins. Unless common core math has now made 44 more than 48.5. :o

I thought I read somewhere that 35 was the over.
Ok. I see where the 35 came in. That was last year's total.


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Re: Line Closes Navy 9 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby lurker123 » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:43 pm

Show Me wrote:

Over looks like the bet.[/quote]
Show Me wrote:I bet the books are going to clean house.


Whose house did the books clean?



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Re: Line Closes Navy 9 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby Show Me » Sun Sep 10, 2017 11:48 am

lurker123 wrote:
Show Me wrote:

Over looks like the bet.
Show Me wrote:I bet the books are going to clean house.


Whose house did the books clean?[/quote]
The dog house.



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Re: Line Closes Navy 9 pts. > Tulane – The Spread Thread

Postby Aberzombie1892 » Sun Sep 10, 2017 11:58 am

tpstulane wrote:Points and over take it home. Navy should have been only a 3-5point favorite today.


Remember that Vegas isn't trying to pick the outcome of the game - it's trying to get even betting on both sides. Given that that was the case, it was a reasonable line.

In terms of the outcome of the game, Tulane's better prepared to defend the option than the vast majority of FBS teams due to its offense and the fact that it had to prepare for to triple option games in its first 4 games, so slightly better AAC teams may not be as competitive as Tulane was.



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