Fred Dowler wrote:
The deal is, though, for one, as we all know, it's always a good idea to take whatever Rick Dickson and company announce with a nice grain of salt and then, second, for a couple of years or so the facility is going to be a novelty and people are going to be curious about it and the effect of that is going to be impacting on ticket sales. That effect is going to wear off eventually, but only when it does will you really be able to get a good reading on how responsive the public is going to be to TU/American Conf. football (and which largely is the same item as "old C-USA" football minus Louisville, TCU and Southern Miss -- and we already have an idea of what people think of that product). Which is why it the sound approach for TU to have taken would have been for TU to have focused first on building up a solid consistent-winner program on the field while still playing in the Superdome and then have had the better gauge on the fan following with which to plan for the future (whether that would have meant an on-campus and smaller stadium or an off-campus and larger stadium).
As far as season ticket sales, or anything else for that matter, I don't believe anything coming out of the Wilson Center or Gibson Hall.
Our tied-at-the-hip conference mate SMU built a spanking new stadium in time for the 2000 season. I've never been there but, from what I gather, it is nicer than what Yulman projects to be. Like us, SMU had been a dismal football program for a long time, killing their fan base. Here's what happened in SMU's first season in their new stadium:
Kansas ( 9/2 ) - 32,267 W 31-17
At UTEP (9/9) L 20-37
At NC St. (9/16) L 0-41
Tulane ( 9/23 ) - 26,375 L 17-29 Down 18.3%
At Houston (9/30) L 15-17
San Jose St. ( 10/7 ) - 16,821 L 10-35 Down 47.9%
At Hawaii (10/14) L 15-30
Nevada ( 10/28 ) - 14,747 W 21-7 Down 54.3%
At Rice (11/4) L 14-43
Tulsa ( 11/11 ) - 14,127 W 24-20 Down 56.2%
At Fresno State (11/18) L 7-14
Texas Christian ( 11/24 ) - 26,551 L 7-62 Down 17.7%
They had capacity attendance for the first game (novelty effect), in which they actually won, and didn't fill the stadium again.
They lost a lot after game one so folks knew that they were still dealing with the same bad SMU football just in a spanking new venue; so they bailed.
I know we're coming off a bowl season, albeit one in which we gained the requisite number of wins against probably the weakest football schedule for Tulane since probably the 1920's. But that can only add to interest.
They can talk about ticket sales all day. But if the team doesn't win this season - early, they will see a repeat of what SMU experienced: capacity crowd for the home opener, and that's it. The game day atmosphere and great tailgating (if indeed that's what we'll have) alone doesn't put butts in the seats. The Gormley experiment proved that.
I hope they rack up the W's and make a TU football ticket a hot commodity. As others have said though, that will make perfectly clear before season one is even over that they built too small.
The second commandment has not been abrogated.