Line Moves to USF 6 pts. > Tulane

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Wave755
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Sun Oct 28, 2018 3:29 pm

Spread opens USF 8 pts. > Wave (Rotation nos. 363-364 for Vegas Sheet). http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-foo ... las-vegas/

USF body of work (7-1, AAC 3-1) to date:

9/1 USF 34, Elon 14;
9/8 USF 48, Ga. Tech 38;
9/15 USF 25, Illinois 19;
9/22 USF 20, E. Car. 13;
10/6 USF 58, UMASS 42;
10/12 USF 25, Tulsa 24;
10/20 USF 39, UCONN 30;
10/27 Houston 57, USF 36

We lost to USF @ Yulman on 10/21 last season 34 to 28. For their last 4 games USF seems to be running out of juice? After all, UMASS put up 42 on these guys, they beat Tulsa by only one point, a terrible UCONN team scored 30 and Houston blew USF out yesterday 57 to 36. Let’s hope this trend continues for Saturday.

And, by the way, ‘Bama opens a 14.5 pt. favorite over LSWho. :D
Last edited by Wave755 on Sat Nov 03, 2018 12:11 am, edited 3 times in total.


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RobertM320
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Sun Oct 28, 2018 4:27 pm

Wave755 wrote:
Sun Oct 28, 2018 3:29 pm
Spread opens USF 9 pts. > Wave (Rotation nos. 363-364 for Vegas Sheet).

USF body of work (7-1, AAC 3-1) to date:

9/1 USF 34, Elon 14;
9/8 USF 48, Ga. Tech 38;
9/15 USF 25, Illinois 19;
9/22 USF 20, E. Car. 13;
10/6 USF 58, UMASS 42;
10/12 USF 25, Tulsa 24;
10/20 USF 39, UCONN 30;
10/27 Houston 57, USF 36

We lost to USF @ Yulman on 10/21 last season 34 to 28. For their last 4 games USF seems to be running out of juice? After all, UMASS put up 42 on these guys, they beat Tulsa by only one point, a terrible UCONN team scored 30 and Houston blew USF out yesterday 57 to 36. Let’s hope this trend continues for Saturday.

And, by the way, ‘Bama opens a 14.5 pt. favorite over LSWho. :D
I think Houston just showed how weak USF's schedule has been. ECU, UMass, Tulsa and UConn are all worse than us, and they won by 7, 16, 1 and 9. They gave up 30 points to a terrible UConn offense. In fact, if you go by Massey ratings, we'll be the third best team they've faced all season.

https://www.masseyratings.com/team.php?t=7278&s=300937
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Wave755
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Sun Oct 28, 2018 5:07 pm

RobertM320 wrote:
Sun Oct 28, 2018 4:27 pm
Wave755 wrote:
Sun Oct 28, 2018 3:29 pm
Spread opens USF 9 pts. > Wave (Rotation nos. 363-364 for Vegas Sheet).

USF body of work (7-1, AAC 3-1) to date:

9/1 USF 34, Elon 14;
9/8 USF 48, Ga. Tech 38;
9/15 USF 25, Illinois 19;
9/22 USF 20, E. Car. 13;
10/6 USF 58, UMASS 42;
10/12 USF 25, Tulsa 24;
10/20 USF 39, UCONN 30;
10/27 Houston 57, USF 36

We lost to USF @ Yulman on 10/21 last season 34 to 28. For their last 4 games USF seems to be running out of juice? After all, UMASS put up 42 on these guys, they beat Tulsa by only one point, a terrible UCONN team scored 30 and Houston blew USF out yesterday 57 to 36. Let’s hope this trend continues for Saturday.

And, by the way, ‘Bama opens a 14.5 pt. favorite over LSWho. :D
I think Houston just showed how weak USF's schedule has been. ECU, UMass, Tulsa and UConn are all worse than us, and they won by 7, 16, 1 and 9. They gave up 30 points to a terrible UConn offense. In fact, if you go by Massey ratings, we'll be the third best team they've faced all season.

https://www.masseyratings.com/team.php?t=7278&s=300937
+1, Sagarin has only Ga.Tech and Houston for their schedule ranked above us. Their only quality win was 48 to 38 over Ga. Tech way back on 9/8. By Sagarin’s formula with a 2.43 pt. advantage for home field USF is only a 6.67 pt. favorite for Saturday.

Hmm :?: , I wonder if these guys aren’t really just “paper bulls”?
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Sun Oct 28, 2018 5:19 pm

We aren’t going to beat UH at Houston. This USF game is THE GAME that we have to win to breath any life into this season. Lose this, and we’re done for 2018. Win it, and we restore control over our destiny with the ECU and Navy games still on our schedule. This is a winnable game.
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winwave
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Sun Oct 28, 2018 7:28 pm

HoustonWave wrote:
Sun Oct 28, 2018 5:19 pm
We aren’t going to beat UH at Houston. This USF game is THE GAME that we have to win to breath any life into this season. Lose this, and we’re done for 2018. Win it, and we restore control over our destiny with the ECU and Navy games still on our schedule. This is a winnable game.
+1. This is most certainly a winnable game. Another team with a bad defense.
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Mon Oct 29, 2018 7:36 am

HoustonWave wrote:
Sun Oct 28, 2018 5:19 pm
We aren’t going to beat UH at Houston. This USF game is THE GAME that we have to win to breath any life into this season. Lose this, and we’re done for 2018. Win it, and we restore control over our destiny with the ECU and Navy games still on our schedule. This is a winnable game.
Winning this removes at least some of the taint and disappointment with this
season and with this coach.
Speak softly but carry a bigschtick!
Wave755
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Mon Oct 29, 2018 9:56 am

Most of us had UAB & SMU as wins. Since we beat Memphis for the first time since 2000, we now desperately need this game against USF. I agree, I just don't see this team beating Houston @ Houston.
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RobertM320
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Mon Oct 29, 2018 11:29 am

winwave wrote:
Sun Oct 28, 2018 7:28 pm
HoustonWave wrote:
Sun Oct 28, 2018 5:19 pm
We aren’t going to beat UH at Houston. This USF game is THE GAME that we have to win to breath any life into this season. Lose this, and we’re done for 2018. Win it, and we restore control over our destiny with the ECU and Navy games still on our schedule. This is a winnable game.
+1. This is most certainly a winnable game. Another team with a bad defense.
+1 This is why I pointed it out. They may be 7-1, but they're not light years better than us. Same as UAB, who is also 7-1
"ASK AND YE SHALL RECEIVE! HANG EM AND BANG EM! HANG EM AND BANG EM!"-- Todd Graffagnini
Wave755
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Mon Oct 29, 2018 3:28 pm

USF > Wave (Rotation nos. 363-364 for Vegas Sheet). http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-foo ... las-vegas/


O/U 58.5


Hoping we have more defense than they do, I don't think we can win a shoot out. Last year they beat us 34 to 28 at Yulman.
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RobertM320
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Tue Oct 30, 2018 7:55 pm

Wave755 wrote:
Mon Oct 29, 2018 3:28 pm
USF > Wave (Rotation nos. 363-364 for Vegas Sheet). http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-foo ... las-vegas/


O/U 58.5


Hoping we have more defense than they do, I don't think we can win a shoot out. Last year they beat us 34 to 28 at Yulman.
Dont forget, that game was 34-7 at one point.
"ASK AND YE SHALL RECEIVE! HANG EM AND BANG EM! HANG EM AND BANG EM!"-- Todd Graffagnini
DfromCT
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Wed Oct 31, 2018 8:22 am

I would lay the points and take the Bulls. Hope I'm wrong.

ROLL WAVE!
" For every alum, no matter where they are...I want a football coach that's going to make Saturday something you anticipate and look forward to." --Troy Dannen

Thank you all for your support as my son Zach continues to beat leukemia
Wave755
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Wed Oct 31, 2018 12:19 pm

OK, ESPN gives us a 32.9% chance of winning. http://www.espn.com/college-football/ga ... /401019521 And yes, :-D ESPN GameDay is a Nate Silver production, the same guy who gave Donald Trump a 28% chance of winning the Whitehouse. :clap:

Roll Wave Roll !!!
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wave97
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Wed Oct 31, 2018 4:13 pm

Wave755 wrote:
Sun Oct 28, 2018 3:29 pm
Spread opens USF 8 pts. > Wave (Rotation nos. 363-364 for Vegas Sheet). http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-foo ... las-vegas/

USF body of work (7-1, AAC 3-1) to date:

9/1 USF 34, Elon 14;
9/8 USF 48, Ga. Tech 38;
9/15 USF 25, Illinois 19;
9/22 USF 20, E. Car. 13;
10/6 USF 58, UMASS 42;
10/12 USF 25, Tulsa 24;
10/20 USF 39, UCONN 30;
10/27 Houston 57, USF 36

We lost to USF @ Yulman on 10/21 last season 34 to 28. For their last 4 games USF seems to be running out of juice? After all, UMASS put up 42 on these guys, they beat Tulsa by only one point, a terrible UCONN team scored 30 and Houston blew USF out yesterday 57 to 36. Let’s hope this trend continues for Saturday.

And, by the way, ‘Bama opens a 14.5 pt. favorite over LSWho. :D
USF was very gracious to is in the second half last year. Sean King took his foot off the pedal.
Wave755
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Wed Oct 31, 2018 5:21 pm

wave97 wrote:
Wed Oct 31, 2018 4:13 pm
Wave755 wrote:
Sun Oct 28, 2018 3:29 pm
Spread opens USF 8 pts. > Wave (Rotation nos. 363-364 for Vegas Sheet). http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-foo ... las-vegas/

USF body of work (7-1, AAC 3-1) to date:

9/1 USF 34, Elon 14;
9/8 USF 48, Ga. Tech 38;
9/15 USF 25, Illinois 19;
9/22 USF 20, E. Car. 13;
10/6 USF 58, UMASS 42;
10/12 USF 25, Tulsa 24;
10/20 USF 39, UCONN 30;
10/27 Houston 57, USF 36

We lost to USF @ Yulman on 10/21 last season 34 to 28. For their last 4 games USF seems to be running out of juice? After all, UMASS put up 42 on these guys, they beat Tulsa by only one point, a terrible UCONN team scored 30 and Houston blew USF out yesterday 57 to 36. Let’s hope this trend continues for Saturday.

And, by the way, ‘Bama opens a 14.5 pt. favorite over LSWho. :D
USF was very gracious to is in the second half last year. Sean King took his foot off the pedal.
Shawn King was almost too nice, another score and we would have won. If we can have sustained drives on Saturday taking a lot of time off of the clock, we have a chance.
winwave
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Wed Oct 31, 2018 9:51 pm

Guys it's Shaun. Also he had nothing to do with taking the foot off the pedal. He's the RB's coach the last two years.
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DfromCT
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Wed Oct 31, 2018 9:54 pm

winwave wrote:
Wed Oct 31, 2018 9:51 pm
Guys it's Shaun. Also he had nothing to do with taking the foot off the pedal. He's the RB's coach the last two years.
+1

King had ZERO to do with USF putting their third and fourth string players in the game prematurely.
" For every alum, no matter where they are...I want a football coach that's going to make Saturday something you anticipate and look forward to." --Troy Dannen

Thank you all for your support as my son Zach continues to beat leukemia
Wave755
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Sat Nov 03, 2018 12:17 am

Line moves to USF 6 pts. > Wave. Vegas money keeps moving to Tulane, let’s hope the “wisdom of the market” proves correct.
DfromCT
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Sat Nov 03, 2018 10:45 am

I'm tempted to open an online wagering account as this line shrinks. I hate to bet against, and never root against Tulane, but 6 is too few points, IMHO. We're playing a QB with very little experience, and playing against a team that can put up points as easily as anyone we've faced. We stink on the road. I want our Green Wave to win, but it's tempting to lay the points.
" For every alum, no matter where they are...I want a football coach that's going to make Saturday something you anticipate and look forward to." --Troy Dannen

Thank you all for your support as my son Zach continues to beat leukemia
Wave755
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Sat Nov 03, 2018 2:57 pm

DfromCT wrote:
Sat Nov 03, 2018 10:45 am
I'm tempted to open an online wagering account as this line shrinks. I hate to bet against, and never root against Tulane, but 6 is too few points, IMHO. We're playing a QB with very little experience, and playing against a team that can put up points as easily as anyone we've faced. We stink on the road. I want our Green Wave to win, but it's tempting to lay the points.
Betonline now has the spread USF 5.5 pts. > Wave! Let’s hope those cold hearted dispassionate gamblers are on to something? :)
DfromCT
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Sat Nov 03, 2018 4:02 pm

Wave755 wrote:
Sat Nov 03, 2018 2:57 pm
DfromCT wrote:
Sat Nov 03, 2018 10:45 am
I'm tempted to open an online wagering account as this line shrinks. I hate to bet against, and never root against Tulane, but 6 is too few points, IMHO. We're playing a QB with very little experience, and playing against a team that can put up points as easily as anyone we've faced. We stink on the road. I want our Green Wave to win, but it's tempting to lay the points.
Betonline now has the spread USF 5.5 pts. > Wave! Let’s hope those cold hearted dispassionate gamblers are on to something? :)
Thank God I didn't bet the house. I didn't bet a penny, and am really enjoying this game!
" For every alum, no matter where they are...I want a football coach that's going to make Saturday something you anticipate and look forward to." --Troy Dannen

Thank you all for your support as my son Zach continues to beat leukemia
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tpstulane
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Sat Nov 03, 2018 6:55 pm

Wave755 wrote:
Sat Nov 03, 2018 12:17 am
Line moves to USF 6 pts. > Wave. Vegas money keeps moving to Tulane, let’s hope the “wisdom of the market” proves correct.
Somebody cleaned up. ESPN had us the “lock of the day.” Good call there.
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RobertM320
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Sat Nov 03, 2018 9:00 pm

It seemed like both USF -6 and over 61 would be locks in this game. Neither was right.
"ASK AND YE SHALL RECEIVE! HANG EM AND BANG EM! HANG EM AND BANG EM!"-- Todd Graffagnini
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