BOWL PROJECTIONS

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anEngineer
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Thu Nov 15, 2018 7:45 am

The American Conference has 7 bowl tie-ins. We currently have 6 teams already bowl eligible with SMU and Tulane at 5-5. If it gets to a choice between SMU and Tulane both at 6-6, I would think SMU would be chosen because they beat us. Imagine finally getting bowl eligible and not having anywhere to go. The one thing that changes that dynamic is if UCF goes undefeated, they will be in a New Year 6 game and it would leave an extra slot with the automatic tie-ins. It seems that it is greatly in Tulane's interest, not only to win, but for UCF to not lose.


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RobertM320
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Thu Nov 15, 2018 7:48 am

According to this we have 7 tie-ins and two secondary tie-ins. There will be a spot for us somewhere.
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RobertM320
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Thu Nov 15, 2018 7:50 am

anEngineer wrote:
Thu Nov 15, 2018 7:45 am
The American Conference has 7 bowl tie-ins. We currently have 6 teams already bowl eligible with SMU and Tulane at 5-5. If it gets to a choice between SMU and Tulane both at 6-6, I would think SMU would be chosen because they beat us. Imagine finally getting bowl eligible and not having anywhere to go. The one thing that changes that dynamic is if UCF goes undefeated, they will be in a New Year 6 game and it would leave an extra slot with the automatic tie-ins. It seems that it is greatly in Tulane's interest, not only to win, but for UCF to not lose.

Of course, if we were to beat UCF in an AAC CG, we'd be 8-5. We'd get somewhere decent. Not sure what the specific tie-in is for our conf champ, assuming they don't get the NY6.

Also, would a 12-1 UCF team that lost in the CG necessarily NOT still be the highest ranked G5 team and get the NY6 game?
"ASK AND YE SHALL RECEIVE! HANG EM AND BANG EM! HANG EM AND BANG EM!"-- Todd Graffagnini
Dave breslin
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Thu Nov 15, 2018 9:59 am

Counting chicks before they hatch. Cart before the horse...... Beat Houston!!!
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ajcalhoun
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Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:24 am

Dave breslin wrote:
Thu Nov 15, 2018 9:59 am
Counting chicks before they hatch. Cart before the horse...... Beat Houston!!!
Absolute this, but even with a loss to Houston a victory over Navy puts us at a bowl-eligible 6-6 and punches our ticket to at least the New Orleans Bowl. Bowls will be scrambling to fill their spots and some will be forced to accept teams with losing records.
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golfnut69
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Thu Nov 15, 2018 11:31 am

ajcalhoun wrote:
Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:24 am
Dave breslin wrote:
Thu Nov 15, 2018 9:59 am
Counting chicks before they hatch. Cart before the horse...... Beat Houston!!!
Absolute this, but even with a loss to Houston a victory over Navy puts us at a bowl-eligible 6-6 and punches our ticket to at least the New Orleans Bowl. Bowls will be scrambling to fill their spots and some will be forced to accept teams with losing records.
losing records, the American Standard Toilet Bowl...where both teams are crappy....
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RobertM320
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Thu Nov 15, 2018 5:21 pm

Dave breslin wrote:
Thu Nov 15, 2018 9:59 am
Counting chicks before they hatch. Cart before the horse...... Beat Houston!!!
Not putting the cart before the horse. Engineer had a legit concern that we could finish 6-6 and not make a bowl, and I gave him info showing otherwise. I'm not at all projecting us to win the conf.

What I did was ask a followup question: If UCF loses in the AAC CG (regardless of opponent) , is it possible they don't get the NY6 bowl?
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tpstulane
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Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:38 pm

Dave breslin wrote:
Thu Nov 15, 2018 9:59 am
Counting chicks before they hatch. Cart before the horse...... Beat Houston!!!
Good call.
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tpstulane
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Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:39 pm

TURVS71 wrote:
Mon Nov 12, 2018 11:26 am
This Houston game is probably the BIGGEST game that Tulane football has faced in the past 10 years. I feel pretty confident that Memphis will take care of SMU....this Tulane team must rise to the challenge! I would trust that the coaching staff understands this and that the team won’t relax a bit thinking that they can still get a bowl by beating Navy. This game is a step to something that we have NOT had in a very long time!!
So much for that. Navy now the biggest I suppose.
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ajcalhoun
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Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:40 pm

Still have a shot. Gotta beat Navy.
Welcome to gotula.net, where it's never too late to mention Tanner Lee, Andy Cannizaro, Lindsey Scott Jr., Rich Rodriguez, David Pierce, or, of course, Scott Cowen. You see, no horse here is so dead that it cannot be beaten just a little bit more.
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tpstulane
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Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:52 pm

ajcalhoun wrote:
Thu Nov 15, 2018 10:40 pm
Still have a shot. Gotta beat Navy.
Couldn’t ask for a better opponent to beat. Two win Navy is bad this year. We should win by a few TD’s or more. They finish with Army. So that’s also in our favor.
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Aberzombie1892
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Thu Nov 15, 2018 11:11 pm

RobertM320 wrote:
Thu Nov 15, 2018 7:50 am
anEngineer wrote:
Thu Nov 15, 2018 7:45 am
The American Conference has 7 bowl tie-ins. We currently have 6 teams already bowl eligible with SMU and Tulane at 5-5. If it gets to a choice between SMU and Tulane both at 6-6, I would think SMU would be chosen because they beat us. Imagine finally getting bowl eligible and not having anywhere to go. The one thing that changes that dynamic is if UCF goes undefeated, they will be in a New Year 6 game and it would leave an extra slot with the automatic tie-ins. It seems that it is greatly in Tulane's interest, not only to win, but for UCF to not lose.

Of course, if we were to beat UCF in an AAC CG, we'd be 8-5. We'd get somewhere decent. Not sure what the specific tie-in is for our conf champ, assuming they don't get the NY6.

Also, would a 12-1 UCF team that lost in the CG necessarily NOT still be the highest ranked G5 team and get the NY6 game?
The NY6 game goes to the highest ranked G5 champ, so, even if UCF was the highest ranked G5, it wouldn’t get that spot if It wasn’t the AAC champ.
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RobertM320
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Fri Nov 16, 2018 7:31 am

Aberzombie1892 wrote:
Thu Nov 15, 2018 11:11 pm

The NY6 game goes to the highest ranked G5 champ, so, even if UCF was the highest ranked G5, it wouldn’t get that spot if It wasn’t the AAC champ.
I just looked it up. That is correct. Also, all the conf champs of P5s that don't make the CFP are guaranteed a spot in NY6. Only team other than UCF that would have a shot for AAC is Cincy. Whomever wins the East needs to win the CG.
"ASK AND YE SHALL RECEIVE! HANG EM AND BANG EM! HANG EM AND BANG EM!"-- Todd Graffagnini
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